Friday, August 19, 2011

August 19, 2011, Bob Brinker Makes Another 1am Guest Appearance and Other Items of Interest

August 19, 2011.......................................(post and read comments for this article)

Item One:

Bob Brinker's middle-of-the-night appearance on WABC

Bob Brinker was a guest on Doug McIntyre's Red Eye late night radio show again. This is the third time -- to my knowledge.  Thanks to Rob from Pasadena for letting us know about it.

I listened to Bob Brinker's whole interview. Doug McIntyre asked a few questions and took questions from 3 callers. It seemed like a relatively short interview. Doug mentioned the Dow had dropped 417 points (August 18th)  and asked Brinker what that was all about.

Brinker said that there are "two key worries that investors are looking at right now." Americans really can't do much about the first one -- the worry about what is going on with  the European bank's lack of sufficient capital to overcome their exposure to the investments they have in places like Greece, Ireland, and Portugal and maybe Italy and Spain.

The second concern has to do with the growth rate in the United States economy. In the first half of this year, the economy only grew just under 1% annualized.

Doug asked Brinker about Bank of America. Brinker said he thinks it is in the "too big to fail" category, along with J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup.

Brinker repeated what he said on Moneytalk about how Standard and Poors erred when they downgraded the Treasury credit rating -- and the proof is that people all over the world are "tripping over one another buying Treasurys."

Doug asked Brinker why he thought gold was on fire. Brinker repeated what he has said many times on Moneytalk. That it is a speculative metal, but is now being used by some as an alternative currency. He said they perceive it as safety, but whether or not it really is, remains to be seen. "It's worth what people are willing to pay for it and you can't go into Walmart and give them a gold bar, they won't take it,  it's not currency."

The rest of the interview was devoted to topics that Brinker has discussed on Moneytalk many times -- Glass Steagall, AIG, politics, etc.

If you want to hear the program, it is archived at WABC in the 1am time-slot on  August 19th. Here is the link.


Item Two: 
SUNCOR (SU)

Brinker first added Suncor to his off-the-books list of recommended  "individual issues" in May 2009. His latest advice to "hold" was in the June Marketimer.  Suncor did very well over the past couple of years, getting into the mid $40 range, but it closed below $30 today.  Another  Bob Brinker recommendation round-trip:



Item Three:

A  Case of Mistaken Identity

Anonymous sent this post to the comments section (LINK) 
DeleteAnonymous said...
Are you sure Jr. writes the fixed income letter. I checked at the Arlington Heights library website and found this: ..... The Brinker Fixed Income Advi$or We now have a subscription to the Brinker Fixed Income Advi$or, a monthly investment letter that covers a variety of fixed-income topics including U.S. Treasuries, Certificates of Deposit, Municipal Bonds, No-Load Mutual Funds and Exchange Traded Funds. The investment letter also includes taxable and tax-exempt model portfolio recommendations for a variety of risk profiles. The editor of this letter is Bob Brinker, the host of the weekend financial radio talk program Money Talk. You can find the Brinker Fixed Income Advi$or and all of our investment newsletters in the Business Center.
August 19, 2011 12:57 PM
Photocopy:

I answered: So even educated librarians are victims of the Big Brinker Identity Deception, where slowly but surely the reputation of the first one is absorbed by the second one.

To answer your question: Yes, I'm positive. But to find that out for sure, one has to be computer savvy and  many older, retired people are not.....

And one has to dig down deep on the fixed income advisor website to find the whole truth because Jr has put a red herring up front which only says that Robert M. Brinker is the publisher. How many know the initials of the two Bob Brinkers are different?

Here's your proof. As I said, it's not easy to find on his website:

Robert M. Brinker, CFS
Editor & Publisher

Robert M. Brinker has been the editor and publisher of the Brinker Fixed Income Advisor since the inaugural issue in April 2005. The Brinker Fixed Income Advisor monthly investment letter covers a variety of fixed-income related topics including U.S. Treasuries, Certificates of Deposit, Municipal Bonds, No-Load Mutual Funds, and Exchange Traded Funds. The investment letter also includes taxable and tax-exempt model portfolio recommendations for a variety of risk profiles.

Robert earned his Bachelor of Science in Business Administration from Old Dominion University. He then went on to earn his Master of Science in Information Systems from the University of Colorado. Robert earned his designation as a Certified Fund Specialist © from the Institute of Business & Finance.

Lisa J. Brinker
Editor

Lisa J. Brinker has been an editor of the Brinker Fixed Income Advisor since the monthly investment letter began in April 2005. Lisa earned her Bachelor of Arts in English and German from Old Dominion University. She earned her Master of Arts in Linguistics from the University of Colorado.

Robert J. Brinker
Consultant

Bob Brinker has been a consultant to the Brinker Fixed Income Advisor since inception. He has more than twenty five years of investment management experience. He is the host of the weekend financial talk program MoneyTalk. In addition to hosting Moneytalk, Bob Brinker publishes Marketimer, his monthly investment newsletter.
Mr Pig added the humor 
Blogger Pig said...
How many know the initials of the the Bob Brinker's are different? ...... Holy Initials, BatBee. What a dastardly deed and diabolical plan to defraud Goobers and Geezers. Do you think they sleep well at night doing this just to make zillions of dollars?
August 19, 2011 3:27 PM

One more item:

DanG's prediction for Sunday's show
 Delete
Blogger Dan G said...
Bob will have a tough time explaining the market this weekend...if he dares to come on. ..... But here's my prediction. He will claim that the current action is just a "re-test of the lows", and he will be prepared to call the exact bottom as it occurs...but only in a "special bulletin", so get those $185 checks in the mail pronto!
August 19, 2011 12:48 PM

20 comments:

birdbrain said...

The next time Mr B appears on early morning radio I would like to hear a last minute change.

"Welcome to Red Eye Radio. Sitting in for Doug McIntyre is Paul Kangas, former anchor of Nightly Business Report on PBS."

"Hello, everyone. Our first guest is Bob Brinker who hosts....what's that? Er, I'm sorry folks but we seem to have lost Bob."

Anonymous said...

"You can find the Brinker Fixed Income Advi$or and all of our investment newsletters in the Business Center."

Since the libraries are obviously providing Brinker Jr's newsletter, does this mean that they are once again providing Market Timer?

Maybe the Arlington Heights library poster can tell us?

Honeybee said...

Birdbrain,

As you may know, Bob Brinker stopped making guest appearances on NBR after Kirk Lindstrom was given the opportunity to ask him a question during the program.

Later, Jeffchristie had a conversation with Paul Kangas and asked him why Brinker was no longer invited to be a guest on the program. Kangas told Jeffchristie that he was invited, but he would not accept.

Honeybee said...

Anonymous,

I checked the Arlington Library website and they do not carry Bob Brinker's Marketimer.

And you are assuming a lot when you say "libraries are obviously providing Brinker Jr's newsletter."

I think that may be an anomaly -- and one that we may have jinxed. Don't be surprised if Jr doesn't pull it.

I checked with the huge main branch library and they do not carry Jr's letter.

jeffchristie said...

Honey you are correct. A few years ago I had the pleasure of talking to Paul Kangas. I ask him why we hadn't seen Bob Brinker on the Nightly Business Report as a guest market monitor. Mr. Kangas told me that they had extended several invitations to Mr. Brinker but Bob had refused them. This made me wonder if Brinker did not want to face the "hard questions" that he might get from Paul and the listeners. I remember that on his last appearance he got tough questions from Steve T and a guy named Kirk.

Pig said...

Being able to read and post on this wonderful site IS INDEED A GREAT HONOR AND I SHALL CHERISH IT FOREVER!

I sure hope it doesn't get hacked or end up with a blank header error.

Keep up the good work..............

Anonymous said...

Is Paul Kangas still alive? I know he retired years ago from PBS and I thought he died.

I guess Brinker outlasted him by years.

birdbrain said...

Mr Kangas retired from his show in 2009 and I believe is still with us. Spent many a Friday night watching the Nightly Business Report, which of course was followed by Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser.

Is there an age limit for this blog?

Honeybee said...

Anonymous,

Well aren't you nice to speak so kindly of Paul Kangas. What did he ever do to you? Hmmmmm?

He is still alive. This is from Wiki:

Paul Kangas was the Miami-based co-anchor of the PBS television program Nightly Business Report, a role he held from 1979, when the show was a local PBS program in Miami, through December 31, 2009

Honeybee said...

Mr. Pig, since you are such a loyal fan and cherish this blog, I'd sure like to see your cute face "following" it again. I do miss it from the old blog. Teehee....

Honeybee said...

Birdbrain asked if there was an age-limit for this blog.

Well, there is certainly no maximum, but sometimes in the past, I have been tempted to put on a minimum. :)

Pig said...

Sunday Prediction

I predict that Bob will:

1. Be merciless on how the stock market fell unexpectedly, and surprised everyone..other than him.

2. He will caution against more UNEXPECTED downside but repeat that he does not have crystal ball, but just an uncanny knowldge of how the stock market may work in the near future.

3. He will mention his last bulletin at least a dozen times, and intimate that subscribers gleaned unimaginable benefit from it. That will be 100% true and factual.

4. He will tell the listeners how you cannot go forward against the pros and system without some help. (such as a newsletter for $185)

5. He damn well better acknowledge me for some credit for these talking points, that he's surely to read and adopt.

Get those Goobers and Geezers while they are scared, Bob. HTH

Anonymous said...

Birdbrain: That was my Friday night routine too. I liked Louis Rukeyser. He had a panel he would ask questions of, one of them was a technical analyst and he ask him something like, "what do the elves have to say?"

It was only a 30 minute show, wasn't it?

As far as age goes, maybe we are "grandfathered in" here

-- Frankj

jeffchristie said...

Mr. Pig

Bob is diversified enough where he will always have a winner. Tomorrow calls will come in praising him for GLD and Ginniemaes. Anyone who bought into the stock market three weeks ago after hearing Bob was buying on Friday will not get past the screener. I can hear him now. Gold was only a few hundred dollars an ounce when we first talked about it right here on Moneytalk. Of course he won't mention that he was advising people not to buy it back then. This guy is good.

jeffchristie said...

Frankj

I started watching Lou on WSW every Friday night with my father while I was still in high school. In every year end show Lou would ask all his panelists to predict the highs and lows of the market for the next year. He had about a dozen panelists. One year, I think it was back in the 90's, I compared their estimates to Brinker's. Bob's predicted low was lower than any of the panelists and his high was higher than any of them.

Pig said...

ONLY A FEW MORE HOURS UNTIL

BOB BOB BOB

Honeybee said...

Whoohoo! The piglet on the phone greeted me this morning.

Now too bad we don't have a Jag to join him. :)

Dan G said...

"ONLY A FEW MORE HOURS UNTIL

BOB BOB BOB"

Yeah, just like Lorena Bobbitt said to her hubby, "It won't be long now!"

Dan G said...

I didn't listen very long, but long enough to learn some astounding stock market news! Bob said the markets last week were...get this...VOLATILE! And we didn't even have to pay for that news!

I never heard the market mentioned after that, so I turned it off and contemplated the wisdom that I had just obtained...for FREE!

BTW, the futures haven't been open long, but the Dow is already down over 80 points. If this continues, hold onto your hats tomorrow, folks. It could be UGLY!

Kirk Lindstrom said...

Update on Bob Brinker's 2000 QQQ Advice as of Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The last time Bob Brinker recommended reducing equities was in the summer of 2000 when he increased his 60% cash position to 65% of the total portfolio in P1 and P2.

Brinker told his audience to stay in money fund at Vanguard to be liquid for "trading opportunities" .

On October 16, 2000 Bob Brinker sent a special subscriber bulletin via email urging them to "Act Immediately" and put up to 50% of their cash reserves into the NASDAQ 100 index via QQQ for a trade he expected would occur quickly and end in 2 to 4 months

You can see an actual copy of the special bulletin HERE.

When the rally in QQQ failed to materialize as predicted, Brinker decided to NOT include this in his model portfolios when he published his November Marketimer newsletter dated November 6.

The odd thing was he continued to recommend the investment in his newsletter until the QQQs lost about half their value, falling to the $40s, where he said to "hold for future recovery" and never mentioned the trade again in his newsletter!

Our critics point out he covered QQQ under "INDIVIDUAL ISSUES" where he listed them as a HOLD since June 6, 2001 when he wrote "For subscribers with a position in the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) shares, we recommend holding these shares for future recovery within our earlier percentage guidelines.

If you followed Brinker's advice to buy the QQQ shares any time following the October 16th bulletin until he stopped recommending QQQ for up to 50% of cash reserves, the top price you could have paid was $87.87 on Oct 20, 2000

From Yahoo! QQQ from Oct 10 to Nov 1, 2000

Today QQQ is $52.28 which is down 40.5% from $87.87, the highest QQQ was while Brinker was recommeding it for up to 50% of cash reserves.