Bob Brinker took the 4th of July holiday off and Lynn Jimenez filled in for him. Jimenez is a business reporter for KGO810 radio.
I did not listen to the first two hours of the program so if anyone wants to comment about it, please feel free. Jeffchristie told me that he thought a major portion of the program was simply a "platform to bash U.S. corporations."
- jeffchristie said...
- .If someone started listening to Moneytalk five weeks ago they might have the impression that Lynn is the regular host and Bob Brinker is the fill in. Lynn has been on 3 out of the last 5 weeks. At the end of her monologue Lynn said: "We are all capitalists here". Yes but some are European style socialists like you..A first hour caller Rita in Martin Grove ILL said Lynn was a breath of fresh air. She felt that corporations have an ethical and moral responsibility to citizens. I wonder what she may have been thinking over and above what is in the US Constitution and the rule of law..Another caller David in Chicago complained that companies who have brought cash back into the country and used it to purchase their stock rather than hire. He cited several news articles to back up his position. I say so what. If the stock buy back causes the share price to go up, wealth is being created for the shareholders. This is a positive for individuals and pension funds..Another caller whose name I didn't catch claimed to be a libertarian who votes Republican. He said he will never buy another stock. He is in portfolio 6 which is 100% invested in silver..Lynn talked about the debt ceiling. She doesn't think we have a crisis yet. She is worried they will make big cuts to Medicare and Social Security that will have unintended consequences..I found it ironic that Moneytalk has turned into a platform where people bash corporate America and explain why they don't want to buy stocks. It seems to go against everything Bob Brinker has been teaching over the past 25 years.
- jeffchristie said...
- Lynn also claimed that US corporations are paying too low of a rate when it comes to taxes. She bashed Cisco systems. She didn't however mention GE and GM which had profits and paid NO corporate income tax. Lynn also said Warren Buffet pays at a lower rate than his secretary. I wonder how many jobs this secretary has created? According to Yahoo Finance, Warren Buffet's company employs 260,000 people.
Honey here again: However, Jeffchristie suggested that I download and listen to the third hour. The guest was Marilyn Cohen "Surviving the Bond Bear Market."
In general, Marilyn is bearish on the Treasury Bond market and she is strongly opposed to buying bond funds. She also said that TIPS are fully priced. Bob Brinker agrees and has told Moneytalk listeners that he no longer has any positions in TIPS (Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities). Indeed, he has removed all weightings from the Marketimer balanced model portfolio III and income portfolio.
Marilyn made several individual bond recommendations which sounded very much like high-yield. I have not researched these and would never even consider buying individual high-yield bonds, but here is the list that she recommended:
* Wynn First Mortgage
* CIT Financial (she said they had already declared bankruptcy and was now "in good shape."
* Conenterprises Inc.
Bob Brinker has never recommended buying individual issue high-yield bonds. However, beginning in April 2003, Brinker added a 15% weighting of Vanguard High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (VWEHX) to his fixed income portfolio. He increased that weighting to 25% in January 2011.
The last call of the day was surprising because Jimenez did not know about Annaly Mortgage Reit (NLY). And I wondered if Marilyn had done a quick Google search then bluffed her (IMO) convoluted answer. :) I have transcribed the call for you:
Caller Jim said: "I own bond funds and got the impression that she didn't particularly recommend them."
Cohen replied: "Your impression is absolutely correct. I don't particularly like them right now. Now what kind of bond funds do you own?"
Jim said: "They are taxable. NLY is one, it's paying me like 14%."
Jimenez exclaims: "WHOA!"
Cohen said: "Let me tell you, that's Annaly. Annaly isn't like a regular bond fund. You own that particular security and can get out any day, interday. A bond fund is a mutual fund....The long term bond fund is what I don't like right now because they have just been overwhelmed with investors. We've never seen such a stampede into taxable bond funds as we have since the credit crisis of 2008. Everybody got out of equities. Remember how Lynn started out the program, about how all the baby boomers went into gold in the '80s and then they went into housing and then they went into tech? Well they went into bond funds in 2008 with abandon. You know you're not locked into the yield that you are going to earn. You have other people that you have to worry about when their money flows out like we saw for 29 consecutive weeks with municipal bond funds. So your Annally is not anything like that."
Jimenez asked: "What is the Annaly?"
Cohen replied: "It's listed on the stock exchange. It is a stock, but they buy mortgages. They leverage the mortgages. It's a real estate investment trust that owns and manages all different kinds of assets on behalf of individuals and institutions. And the portfolio consists of mortgage-backed securities and sometimes pass-through securities - collateralized mortgage obligations. This particular security will do very well as long as short-term interest rates stay low. And remember, short-term interest rates are the only interest rate that the Federal Reserve can and does control. They can't control any intermediate or long-term rates. So he is getting the spread, the differential between what all these securities are earning versus what kind of cost of financing that Annaly is having to pay. And that's why he has such a large yield."
Jimenez asked: "What do you recommend that he do with those? Are those something that he should hang on to right now?"
Cohen replied: "Absolutely. Hang on to them. Continue to harvest your dividend. And as soon as short-term rates start moving up, which will eventually happen, but it isn't happening right now, this type of security is going to get hurt. No question about it. But for now, it's not broken; don't try to fix it. It's been a really good investment for the past few years."
I don't know what Cohen considers a "few years" but NLY took a beating in 2008. However, not as much as the stock market, and it never missed paying dividends. NLY went ex-dividend June 28th and will pay out 65-cents per share on July 28th. I own NLY -- right now, anyway. :)
Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a real estate investment trust, engages in the ownership, management, and financing of a portfolio of investment securities. The company invests primarily in mortgage pass-through certificates, collateralized mortgage obligations, agency callable debentures, and other mortgage-backed securities representing interests in or obligations backed by pools of mortgage loans. Annaly Capital also invests in Federal Home Loan Bank, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, and Federal National Mortgage Association debentures. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT).
Business Summary
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