Saturday, December 3, 2011

December 3, 2011, Bob Brinker's Moneytalk (MAY NOT BE) Canceled From KGO810 Radio

[In Edit, December 4, 2011:  Bob Brinker announced that Moneytalk is moving from KGO to KSFO 560  in the San Francisco bay area.]


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December 2, 2011....The word is out that KGO, a station that has carried Bob Brinker's Moneytalk since Superbowl Sunday, 1986, has canceled the program.  The station has changed its format:
KGO Radio (810 AM)  announced to listeners on Friday, December 2, that it is changing formats from newstalk to mostly news.    The weekday schedule will be radically changed.   Talk show hosts Gene Burns, Gil Gross, Ray Taliaferro, Len Tillem and John Rothmann were all fired on Thursday, December 1.   Repeat broadcasts were plugged in their place.   The new format will start on Monday, December 5.  Ronn Owens will be the only weekday show that will stay intact.  
(SNIP)

Hosley told KGO-TV, Channel 7,  "We thought that there would be a better opportunity to build audience by going to a semi-all news format.  Our talk format has been wonderful over the years for KGO, but the audience really hasn't stayed with us. The audience isn't there. We believe that news will attract more listeners."

Weekend talk
The weekend shows will remain partially intact.  Karel will remain 7-10 p.m. on Saturdays and Sundays. According to the station's online schedule, Pat Thurston will take over 8 a.m. to 11 a.m. on weekends.   Spencer Hughes takes over the 10 p.m. to 1 a.m. weekend slot that had been occupied by Bill Wattenburg, according to the station's Web site.   Wattenburg apparently among those who have been let go.   Wattenburg's Web page on the KGO site had been removed.

Bob Brinker's Moneytalk show, which had aired on Sundays at 1-4 p.m. is no longer on the station's schedule and neither is  Joanie Greggains. Read more at this LINK
Edit December 4, 2011...Bob Brinker is leaving KGO and will be picked up in the same time slot by KSFO 560.

Friday, December 2, 2011

December 2, 2011, Bob Brinker's Marketimer Model Portfolio Performance YTD

December 2, 2011....The numbers are posted on Bobbrinker.com  for November, so let's see how his stock portfolios have done year-to-date:
Model Portfolio 1 as of December 31, 2010: $278,330
Model Portfolio 1 as of November 30, 2011:  $270,779 
(Total: -$7,551/ -2.7%)

Model Portfolio II as of December 31, 2010: $230,317
Model Portfolio II as of November 30, 2011: $222,977
(Total: -$7,340/ -3.2%) 
The last two days of November the S&P 500 Index gained almost 90 points, so that eased some of the losses in  Brinker's portfolios.

Depending on what happens between now and December 31st, Brinker may not post his one year performance record for any of his model portfolios like he has always done in the past -- except for the year 2008. In 2008, Brinker's stock portfolios lost almost 40% and he decided not to show those numbers on his website.

Recall that the megabear market happened in 2008 and the first three months of 2009.  On Bobbrinker.com in 2009, Bob Brinker did not post his model portfolio performance for 2008. Instead, the shortest time frame he posted was five years which was a total change from what he had done for years.  

Here is proof. I found this on the Archived Wayback Machine (thanks to Jeffchristie). Click for full page view: 



Of course, the market bottomed in March 2009 and began to rally, so Brinker began to post year-to-date portfolio performance numbers for several months in 2009,  then once again resumed reporting one-year numbers.

So be prepared for another cover-up to take place if the market doesn't continue to rally and make Brinker's 2011 performance numbers look better.

Sunday, November 27, 2011

November 27, 2011, Bob Brinker's Moneytalk Show Summary

November 27, 2011..........................................................................(comments)

Lynn Jimenez hosted Bob Brinker's Moneytalk today. Lynn is the business reporter for KGO810 radio.

BOB BRINKER WAS DIGESTING TURKEY: Lynn said: "Welcome, Welcome. You're listening to Moneytalk.... I'm Lynn Jimenez, I'm in for Bob Brinker, who  is taking a little  break to digest his turkey. Now during the week, I'm business reporter for KGO Radio in San Francisco, and the author of,   "Se Habla Dinero, the Everyday Guide to Financial Success." 

STOCK MARKET WORST SINCE 1932....Lynn said: "There's no getting around it. It was a bad week for Wall Street. Friday marked stocks seventh straight loss.....This was the worst Thanksgiving performance since 1932.....For the week, the S&P gave back 4.7%, nearly a third of what it gained in October."
November 25, 2011, closing numbers:
DJIA: 11,231.78 = down 4.8% for week
S&P: 1158.67 = down 4.7% for week
Nasdaq: 2441.51 = down 5.1% for week
NO BOB BRINKER STOCK MARKET FOLLOWERS TODAY  AND LYNN AGREED WITH THEM:  There were several callers who said they had lost a lot of money in the stock market. And many who said they no longer invest in the stock market. To name a few: Patrick from Cupertino, California; Charles from Berkeley; Dennis from Alaska; John from Homer Glen, Chicago; Mike from Albany, Oregon and Peter from California.  Even Lynn said she had lost a lot of her 401K in the stock market.

Honey EC: Not one of those callers would have been allowed on the air if Bob Brinker was hosting the program today, but I got the feeling that Lynn was having to work at getting callers. Perhaps because of it being a holiday weekend. 

BIG FIRMS MAKING PROFITS AND BUYING BACK STOCK. Lynn said:  "Big firms are so sure of hitting their profit targets, they're buying their own stock back at a faster pace than they're spending on plants or infrastructure.....Pfizer is buying 5 billion dollars of its own stock back. That doesn't do a whole lot for hiring, and it doesn't do a heck of a lot for shareholders who buy and hold. But it sure makes top management happy because with fewer shares in circulation, it's easier for top execs to hit their profit targets and collect those big bonuses."

SCANDALS SCARE OFF STOCK MARKET INVESTORS AND  FROST LYNN'S CUPCAKES...Lynn said: "My question is, do these kinds of scandals (MF Global) make you lose faith in the market?  Do you feel nervous about investing in stock now?......Should there be criminal or civil charges filed....From my perspective, this frosts my cupcakes....This should not be happening, not at all....I just don't know when we are going to learn. It seems there's a scandal a month. Every time I come and substitute for Bob, it feels as though I have a new scandal for you. And I'm not trying to scare you off of the market.....I am not someone who believes in nanny-government, but  there has been so many transgressions. I mean, it just seems that we've got to have a stronger hand in government. But the minute we try to take a stronger hand, someone in congress says we're going  to cut the budget or they push-back on the bill and try to change it."

EXTREMELY PAINFUL FOR LYNN AND BOB.... Mick from Oregon, said: "I think that people are foolish for being in the stock market. I think a big problem we have in our country  now is because of the stock market and I think what it does is it kills small business."

Lynn replied: "Do you know how hard that is for me to swallow and I don't mean that it is wrong. I mean, here we are money talk, you know, we talk about investing, about growing our corporations and our own savings. This has been extremely painful for Bob and me. Here we are. We're trying to help people grow their money. (Mike interjected: "There's other ways to grow your money.") Lynn continued: "I think you're right....Just plain saving helps too."


Honey EC: I replayed that three times to be certain that  I heard Lynn correctly when she said, "This has been extremely painful for Bob and me." If you want to listen to it, it's about 29 minutes into the second hour. You can download the program from KGO810 radio archives for the next seven days.

If we take Lynn at her word, then we have to believe that Bob has said to her  that these stock market corrections, that he is so cavalier about with callers,  cause him "extreme pain."  If that is true, then he regularly lies to Moneytalk audience and even Marketimer subscribers. He has said nothing about pain on Moneytalk or in Marketimer.

As a matter of fact, in the November Marketimer, Brinker compared the "waterfall phase" of 2011 (closing low 1119.46) to the "waterfall phase" of 1998 (closing low 957.28).  Then he compared the "final test" of the 1998 (closing low 959.44) to the "final test" of  the  October 2011 (closing low 1099.23) and pointed out that both led to "relief rallies." So far, the S&P has not dropped below what he said was the 2011 "final test" closing low.  Matter of fact, it hasn't quite dropped to his September 22nd  "attractive for purchase" level of S&P 1129 -- yet!

Just last month on Moneytalk, Bob made it clear that "teenage corrections" were not anything he was worried about. This is from my  October 23rd show summary,

Bob said: "Bill, here's the acid test for you. If you do not have the stomach for the volatility that is inherent in being in the stock market, then you really have to ask yourself what in the world are you  doing in the stock market. Because if the stock market through it's fluctuations, and certainly we had a correction in 2011 and we had a correction in 2010, and both of them went into the teenage category. If it's something that's just too much for you to bear, you need to ask yourself why are you bothering with it at all." 
 So my question to Lynn would be, do you ever actually listen to Bob Brinker when he hosts Moneytalk? Have you ever read a copy of Marketimer? 

My question to Bob would be, do you actually listen to Lynn Jimenez when she fills in for you?  If so, you are certainly not showing any consideration for your listeners by having a fill-in that might actually scare them out of the market. You had some very strong words for those recession bears for (according to you) scaring people out of the market. And the truth is lots of people have lost money while you are busy issuing new buy signals and recommending staying fully invested like your model portfolios. Your model portfolios are all down for the year. And worse yet, stock model portfolios one and two are still underwater from the all-time-high in 2007.

Lynn said she reads seven newspapers a day and recommended that investors read Bloomberg's Business Week, the Wall Street Journal and these online websites: Seeking Alpha, AOL Blogging Stocks, Herb Greenberg's CNBC Market Blog and the New York Times DealBook and 24-7 WallSt and Calculated Risk.

More of Lynn's topics of the day:
* MF Global bankruptcy scandal (Lynn claimed that Jon Corzine declined his $9 million severance pay.)
* Will you have to work to age 80 before you retire.
* How to take deductions for a home office (second hour guest, Jan Zobel, San Francisco-Oakland tax preparer) .
* How to give your money away (third hour guest, Patrick Rooney, University of Indiana).

Dixiegeezer, who due to health problems, has not been able to go on photographic jaunts, sent this picture with these comments:  "I drove over to Lakeland, Fl where the swans are….about 50-70 on this lake….along with geese and many duck."  Click picture to enlarge and see the beautiful colors: